Recently, James Dunworth of ecigarettedirect.co.uk named Mt Baker Vapor’s own Tim Mechling (me!) as one of 2016’s top vaping experts, and asked for my vape predictions for 2017. To view the original content, check out the Ashtray Blog’s The Future of Vaping. You can read my predictions for 2017 below:
The initial shock of the Deeming Regulations has worn off. In its place, the vaping community faces a grim reality with sober eyes. 2017 will be a trial-by-fire for bigger vape companies, and a death knell for mom-and-pop vape shops.
Americans will see fewer vaping options in 2017. Some bigger names in the vaping industry have already fallen on hard times. Flavors, DIY supplies, and much of the customizability vapers have come to love will be restricted in the coming year. The prohibitive cost of PMTAs will coerce vape companies to strip down to their bones; a few blockbuster flavors will be available in select nicotine levels, and anything off-beat will be eliminated. Scoff-laws will be crucified. Vape shop owners will pace the floors, pondering how to keep their doors open.
Distrust for government and its agencies is at a fever pitch, which may bring hope to the vaping community. Brexit and the election of Donald Trump are symptoms of social unrest, and a bulging, red middle-finger has been thrust at the establishment. How the frenzy of furious populism plays out remains to be seen, but the anti-regulation conservatives and libertarians that fill the House of Representatives, Senate, and the White House are apt to challenge Federal regulations. An optimistic vaper would foresee the Trump Administration taking a sledgehammer to the Deeming Regulations. A cynic would distrust any starry-eyed promise from a politician, no matter the packaging. I personally lean to the latter.
The amount of wealth held and shuffled by Big Pharma, Big Tobacco, and Big Government is nearly unfathomable. Vaping has risen to challenge the status quo, and has marginally upset the momentum of cigarette revenue, and its peripheral markets. There is no doubt these behemoth agencies will further flex their muscle.
The idealist in me sees an uprising of vapers, and a David-versus-Goliath triumph. The realist in me sees the vape industry slithering, ragged and lugubrious, unto oblivion.
Thanks for reading my prediction for 2017, and a huge thanks to James Dunworth of ecigarettedirect.co.uk for making this great piece of of vape journalism happen.
To fight against my grim projections, there are a few options. Turn the tide against society’s negative view of vaping by educating your skeptical peers. Put your money where your mouth by contributing to R2BSF. Support advocacy groups like CASAA, the Vaping Militia, and SFATA. Write to congress, governors, and FDA officials.
We can win the war against vaping.
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